U.S. stocks may avoid a single 80% NYSE downside-volume day in 2026

U.S. equities are showing unusual resilience in 2026, with the market so far on track to become the first full year in at least three decades without a single 80%+ NYSE downside-volume day. The measure refers to sessions when at least 80% of New York Stock Exchange trading volume comes from declining stocks, a sign often used to identify broad market liquidation and heavy selling pressure. The Kobeissi Letter said the pattern contrasts sharply with past stress periods: the NYSE recorded 49 such days during the 2008 global financial crisis, 33 during the 2022 bear market, and 9 in 2025. Since 1997, the indicator has appeared about 21 times a year on average, and no prior full year had fallen below five. The absence of those signals suggests limited broad-based selling and a market structure that has remained well supported, though it may also mean risks are being deferred and could become more concentrated around future liquidity shifts or sudden shocks.

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U.S. stocks may avoid a single 80% NYSE downside-volume day in 2026 - CoinPost Terminal