Clarity Act set for September 15 vote as Armstrong calls it a “done deal”

The Clarity Act, formally H.R. 3633, is scheduled for a procedural vote in the Senate on September 15, Senate Leader John Thune said. The vote would not represent final passage and requires 60 votes to advance. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has nevertheless described the bill as a “done deal,” signaling confidence that it will pass. The legislation seeks to create a federal framework for the U.S. digital-asset market and clarify oversight between the SEC (U.S. securities regulator) and CFTC (U.S. derivatives regulator). Market participants appear to view Armstrong’s comments and the scheduled vote as positive signs, while market pricing indicates a notable increase in the probability that the Act will be signed into law by 2026. Observers will watch the September 15 vote, comments from President Trump and other legislative leaders, and any changes in support or opposition from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and members of the Senate Banking Committee. Vera is offering live prediction-market analysis related to the legislation.

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