Polymarket odds monitored by the PPP prediction-market tool show the probability that Bitcoin will return to $100,000 this year rising to 20%, up 8% over 24 hours. The probability of Bitcoin reaching $90,000 by year-end climbed to 38%, up 16% in 24 hours. Under the market’s rules, a Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candlestick reaching or exceeding the specified price by Dec. 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET will trigger an immediate Yes settlement; otherwise, the market settles as No. Settlement relies exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT data. Bitcoin has posted strong gains for two consecutive days and briefly exceeded $75,000, putting its market capitalization at about $1.502 trillion and moving it above Meta to 13th among global assets by market value.