Persian Gulf oil exports have reportedly recovered to two-thirds of their levels before the conflict, a development that could add downward pressure to crude prices and keep them below $90. Prediction markets put the odds of crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 2%. The December 31 sub-market shows a higher but still limited probability of price increases, with YES contracts at 11.5%. Market observers are monitoring export levels, possible production changes by OPEC (oil producers' group), and Middle East developments that could affect supply stability. Key figures cited as potentially influential include OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Sanusi Barkindo and Saudi Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman Al Saud.