Dollar index rises above 99.6 as Iran tensions bolster hawkish Fed outlook

  • Dollar index extended its rebound as US-Iran attacks renewed concerns about regional energy flows.
  • The index rose above 99.6 after reaching 98.8, a three-month low, on August 21.
  • FOMC members warned inflation could warrant higher rates, while Eurozone inflation supported an ECB hike consensus.

The dollar index climbed above 99.6, extending its recovery from a three-month low of 98.8 reached on August 21. The move tracked a rise in yields across maturities as inflation risks strengthened expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Renewed attacks between the US and Iran further reduced near-term prospects for improved energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz, while higher energy prices added to inflationary pressure. Several FOMC members, including Chairman Warsh, warned that inflation could justify higher interest rates. Chairman Warsh also said the labor market had recently been under full employment, in line with annual revisions showing nonfarm payrolls well below recent downgrades. Higher Eurozone inflation reinforced expectations for an ECB rate hike, limiting the DXY rebound.

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Dollar index rises above 99.6 as Iran tensions bolster hawkish Fed outlook - CoinPost Terminal