CME FedWatch sees 62.2% chance of 25-basis-point hike by September

2026年9月2日12:52 (20d ago)

CME FedWatch estimates Federal Reserve rate outcomes for September and October.
62.2% is the estimated September probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point increase.
October probabilities are 26.9% unchanged, 55.2% for 25 basis points, and 17.9% for 50.

CME FedWatch (a market-implied rate probability tool) puts the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged through September at 37.8%, compared with a 62.2% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point increase. For October, the probability of unchanged rates is 26.9%, while the chances of cumulative increases of 25 and 50 basis points are 55.2% and 17.9%, respectively. The figures were reported by PANews on Sept. 2.