Asian shares rise as Waller cuts Fed hike odds to 50% before payrolls

  • Asian shares advanced as Waller signaled support for holding U.S. rates steady this month.
  • Markets cut the implied Federal Reserve hike probability to 50% from 63%.
  • U.S. payrolls forecasts point to 56,000 jobs and a 4.1% unemployment rate.

Asian shares advanced as investors positioned for the U.S. August payrolls report after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said recent data showed signs of disinflation and that he would favor keeping rates unchanged at this month’s policy meeting if upcoming reports reinforced that trend. Futures reduced the implied chance of a rate increase to 50% from about 63% a day earlier. Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.8%, while the yen gained 2.6% this week to 155.7 per dollar, approaching the 155.2 level reached after joint Tokyo-Washington intervention in late July. Markets forecast 56,000 new U.S. jobs after a 23,000 decline the previous month, with unemployment expected to remain at 4.1%. Treasuries rallied, led by shorter maturities, while the dollar fell 0.6% overnight and was set for a 0.7% weekly decline. Oil remained near six-week highs, and markets priced a 75% chance of a Bank of Japan rate increase this month.

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