Polymarket LAPTOP FDV odds above $100 million climb to 77%

  • Polymarket’s LAPTOP market tracks FDV thresholds one day after launch.
  • 77% odds exceed $100 million; 87% odds exceed $50 million, according to PPP monitoring.
  • LAPTOP must launch by Dec. 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET to avoid a No outcome.

PPP’s prediction-market monitoring shows a 77% probability that LAPTOP’s fully diluted valuation (FDV) will exceed $100 million one day after launch, up 27 percentage points in 24 hours. The probability of exceeding $50 million reached 87%, up 37 percentage points. The market defines FDV as total token supply multiplied by token price and requires LAPTOP to be actively and publicly tradable to count as launched. A launch is planned for Sept. 9 on Coinbase’s Base network, according to an earlier Wall Street Journal report on Hunter Biden’s meme coin project.

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