US Treasury’s $6 billion buyback disappoints markets, pushing 10-year yield to 4.85%

  • US Treasury announced plans to repurchase up to $6 billion in 10- to 20-year securities.
  • $6 billion fell below market expectations of roughly $8 billion to $10 billion.
  • Yields across 10-, 20-, and 30-year sectors rose after the announcement.

The US Treasury announced plans to repurchase up to $6 billion in 10- to 20-year securities, below market expectations of roughly $8 billion to $10 billion. The announcement pushed the 10-year Treasury yield up about 5 basis points, or 0.05 percentage point, to around 4.84%-4.85%, its highest level since November 2023. The 20- and 30-year sectors also moved higher. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s expanded buyback program, introduced on August 19, was intended to improve liquidity in older, less-traded bonds and help manage the government’s maturity profile, rather than reduce its debt. Analysts at Nomura, ING, and Wells Fargo viewed the operation as too small relative to daily Treasury trading volumes exceeding $1 trillion and the government’s projected debt of more than $40 trillion. The response highlights the gap between the Treasury’s planned intervention and what markets believe is needed amid heavy refinancing requirements, persistent fiscal deficits, and lingering inflationary pressure from tariffs and energy prices.

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US Treasury’s $6 billion buyback disappoints markets, pushing 10-year yield to 4.85% - CoinPost Terminal