Former President Donald Trump said the conflict with Iran will conclude shortly after the upcoming U.S. midterm elections and claimed Iran’s missile stockpile has been largely destroyed. The conflict began earlier this year after direct U.S.-Israeli military actions against Iran, followed by Iranian missile retaliation. A temporary ceasefire is now in place, but no formal peace agreement has been reached. The comments may point to a possible move toward negotiations and affect market perceptions of a potential U.S.-Iran deal in 2026. Market pricing for the inclusion of Iran Reconstruction Funding in such a deal shows slight optimism, with some YES prices rising from earlier levels. The remarks could also shape expectations about the reported destruction of Iran’s missile stockpile and its military and strategic implications. Observers are watching whether Trump’s prediction leads to concrete diplomatic efforts or remains rhetorical, with particular attention on Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif and U.S. Chief Negotiator Mike Vance. Evidence of formal negotiations or renewed military action could significantly affect market pricing, while official announcements or actions linked to the midterms may offer further insight into U.S. strategic intentions. Vera offers live prediction-market analysis and invites users to sign up.