The probability that the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026 fell to 5% on Polymarket, down 12% over 24 hours, according to PPP prediction-market monitoring. The U.S. Senate failed to advance the bill in a procedural cloture vote, which requires 60 votes, with 49 senators supporting and 50 opposing. The measure therefore fell well short of the threshold and did not secure a simple majority. All Democratic and independent senators present voted against it, joined by Republican senators Susan Collins, Josh Hawley, Jerry Moran and Thom Tillis. Democratic Sen. Chris Coons did not vote. A senator reportedly filed a motion to reconsider, preserving the possibility of another vote. The monitoring post also promoted a PPP signal-alert community and linked to the Polymarket event.