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Arc token launch odds stand at 20% as top bettor stakes 12.20 times median

  • A top smart-money address bets on Arc launching a token this year.
  • 20% is Polymarket’s current probability for an Arc token launch this year.
  • Arc, Circle’s public blockchain, is officially open.

Polymarket assigns a 20% probability to an Arc token launch this year, but a leading smart-money address has placed a wager worth 12.20 times its median bet. The address has a 79% win rate and cumulative PnL (profit and loss) of +$59.4k, according to @poly_beats. The development comes as Arc, Circle’s public blockchain, has formally opened its mainnet.

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