Trump criticizes Fed rate hike as October increase odds reach 46.5%

  • President Trump criticized the Federal Reserve’s rate hike without targeting Chairman Kevin Warsh.
  • 46.5% is the current probability of a 25 basis point October 2026 increase.
  • Prediction markets raised rate-hike odds after Trump’s comments, while other markets expected stability or cuts.

President Trump criticized the Federal Reserve (U.S. central bank) for raising interest rates but did not direct similar criticism at Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh. The New York Times said the remarks came after the latest rate hike, a contrast that may indicate less political pressure on the Fed’s leadership. Prediction markets now put the probability of a 25 basis point (0.25 percentage-point) rate increase after the Federal Reserve’s October 2026 meeting at 46.5%, up substantially from previous days. Market participants have also increased their anticipation of further hikes in coming months, although other markets continue to reflect expectations for stable rates or cuts. Observers will focus on inflation and employment data, comments from Fed officials, particularly Warsh, and any changes in presidential commentary or political dynamics. The source also promotes live prediction-market analysis powered by Vera and invites readers to sign up.

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