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Markets price 53% chance of another Fed rate hike in October

  • Markets are pricing a 53% chance of another Federal Reserve rate hike in October.
  • A further hike would put interest rates 125 basis points higher than previously.
  • Last year, markets expected three rate cuts by October 2026.

Markets are pricing a 53% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates again in October. That marks a sharp shift from expectations last year for three rate cuts by October 2026. If the Fed hikes again next month, rates would be 125 basis points higher than they were previously, according to the post.

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