Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva signed an executive order immediately banning online gambling, linking the measure to high household debt and gambling addiction. The order requires congressional approval within 120 days and is part of a broader debt-relief plan for households facing financial pressure. The ban was issued days before the first round of the presidential election on October 4, in which Lula is seeking a fourth term against Flávio Bolsonaro. Lula leads narrowly in most polls, but prediction markets have reduced the probability that he will receive the most first-round votes. The policy could affect voter sentiment, particularly among undecided voters, while reactions from opponents, endorsements and further polling may shape the campaign. Markets are expected to respond to significant changes in voter preferences. The analysis is presented as live prediction-market coverage powered by Vera, which invites users to sign up.