Asian shares fall as bond volatility builds ahead of US jobs data

  • Asian shares declined as investors assessed volatile bond and currency markets before US jobs data.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield reached 5.34%, its highest level since 2002.
  • Oil prices stayed elevated amid reported US military deployments and China’s export suspension.

Asian shares declined on Friday as sharp moves in bonds and currencies heightened caution before US nonfarm payrolls data. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield briefly reached 5.34%, its highest level since 2002, after recording its largest quarterly increase in 32 years, before retreating to around 5.25% in Asia. French fiscal concerns drove the spread between French and German government bond yields above 140 basis points, its widest since 2012, pressuring European stocks and sending the euro to $1.1215, its weakest level since May 2025. Investors expect September US payrolls to rise by 90,000, with the employment rate holding at 4.1%; hourly earnings are also in focus after an ISM survey showed a sharp increase in prices paid. Markets price a 25% chance of a Federal Reserve rate increase in October, down from 69% a week earlier, while a December hike remains fully priced. Oil prices stayed elevated as the United States reportedly sent additional troops and carriers to the Middle East and China suspended oil product exports.

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