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Fed rate-hold odds surge to 84% on Kalshi

  • Kalshi traders raised the odds of the Fed maintaining rates this month.
  • 84% is the current probability assigned to a rate hold.
  • The probability reflects Kalshi market trading ahead of the Fed decision.

Kalshi traders have raised the odds of the Federal Reserve maintaining its current interest-rate setting this month to 84%. The market-based probability reflects positioning ahead of the Fed's upcoming decision, though it is not an official forecast.

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