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Markets cut October rate-hike odds to 17% after weak September jobs report

  • Markets reduced expectations for an October rate hike after the September jobs report.
  • 17% is the new market-implied probability, down from nearly 75% days earlier.
  • Bond-market volatility intensified following the weaker-than-expected employment data.

Market expectations for an October rate hike dropped to 17% after the September jobs report came in weaker than expected. The probability had been close to 75% just days earlier, marking a sharp shift in interest-rate outlooks amid unusually volatile bond-market trading.

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