Bitcoin resilience holds as macro risks, regulation and crypto security stories intensify

  • Bitcoin’s recovery strengthened against gold and dollars as analysts cited improving technical indicators.
  • PlanB cited a $54,000 realized price, $66,000 200-week average and 82% profitable addresses.
  • Hester Peirce announced her SEC departure effective October 2, while crypto security incidents continued.

Bitcoin’s recovery is improving against both the dollar and gold, with Tuur Demeester highlighting a break above resistance at 18 ounces of gold. PlanB’s Uptober case rests on Bitcoin trading above its $54,000 realized price and $66,000 200-week moving average, 82% of addresses being in profit and a rising monthly relative-strength index. Benjamin Cowen says holding above $83,000 would keep his bear-market thesis on hold. Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer sees $300,000 by 2029, Peter Brandt targets the same level before the next halving, and Citi forecasts 12-month prices of $113,000 for BTC and $3,028 for ETH, although profit-taking has reached its highest level of 2026.

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