The Chicago Bears are favored to beat the New York Jets 64% to 37% in their Week 4 game Sunday, Oct. 4, at 1 p.m. ET at Soldier Field, according to Kalshi traders. Chicago remains favored despite Caleb Williams being ruled out with a Grade 2 hamstring strain and head coach Johnson withholding the starting-quarterback decision until kickoff. The Bears are 2-1 and lead the NFL with 184.3 rushing yards per game, while the Jets are 1-2 after a Week 1 win over Tennessee and close losses to Green Bay and Detroit. Jets quarterback Smith has completed 75.5% of his passes, leading the league, and has thrown four touchdowns without an interception. Kalshi gives Chicago a 50% chance to win by more than 3.5 points and assigns a 52% probability to the game exceeding 42.5 total points. Chicago ranks No. 11 in Kalshi’s power rankings with a 62.3 Power Score and a 53% playoff price, compared with New York at No. 27, a 20.9 Power Score and a 15% playoff price. Case Keenum made his first start in 1,009 days in Chicago’s 27-7 victory over Philadelphia, while Tyson Bagent returned after clearing concussion protocol. The quarterback decision and the matchup between Johnson’s offense and a Jets defense familiar with it are the main variables, and Kalshi’s prices may continue moving before kickoff.