Dollar-yen holds near 159 after weak July U.S. retail sales

Dollar-yen traded in the upper 158 range in European and U.S. foreign exchange markets on the 14th, showing limited movement even after July U.S. retail sales came in below market expectations. The pair was nearly flat around 159.10 in European hours as traders held back from aggressive positioning ahead of the data, then briefly came under pressure after the release as the weak reading prompted dollar selling. The move proved shallow because the dollar had already been sold ahead of the announcement, and dollar-yen found support at 158.60, the same low seen on the 12th, before changing hands around 158.90 at 21:45. Euro-dollar traded around 1.1566 and also reflected a modest post-data dollar selloff, but its rise stalled at 1.1579, just below the 1.1581 high from the 7th. Traders were watching the retail sales report as a gauge of consumer spending trends in judging the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, while the 200-day moving average (a long-term technical trend indicator) near 158.22 remained an important downside marker for dollar-yen. Some market participants still argued the pair's downside may be limited, pointing to U.S. long-term yield trends and policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve.

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