Global bond yields hit highs as oil tops $90 amid Middle East fighting

  • Global bond sellers pushed major yields higher amid renewed Middle East fighting.
  • U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose 2.2 basis points to 4.78%.
  • Markets priced rate hikes in New Zealand, Europe, the United States and Japan.

Global bond markets sold off as renewed Middle East fighting pushed oil above $90 a barrel, intensifying inflation concerns and driving benchmark yields higher. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 2.2 basis points to a near 20-month high of 4.78%, while Japan’s 10-year yield approached 3%, a level unseen for a generation. European long-term yields and futures also reached multiyear extremes. Markets were cautious before U.S. jobs data due Friday, which could influence the timing of a potential U.S. rate-hiking cycle. Markets priced rate increases in New Zealand on Wednesday and Europe next week, with U.S. and Japanese hikes this month carrying better-than-even odds. Geopolitical tensions, higher energy prices, fiscal concerns and expectations for less accommodative policy are increasing pressure on bonds and risk assets, while offering limited support to the dollar.

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