Bitcoin momentum fades as U.S. rate-hike bets threaten $50,000 range

  • Bitcoin faces pressure from rising U.S. rate-hike expectations and stalled cryptocurrency legislation.
  • The bill’s 2026 passage probability fell from above 50% in July to below 20%.
  • U.S. Congress will vote September 15 on whether to end related discussions.

Bitcoin’s recent advance has lost momentum amid rising expectations for U.S. interest-rate hikes and stalled cryptocurrency legislation. Analysts say a sharp further increase in rate-hike expectations could push Bitcoin back into the $50,000 range. The CLARITY Act, a proposed digital-asset market framework bill, has encountered resistance in Congress, which will vote on September 15 on whether to end related discussions. Prediction-market data show the probability of the bill passing in 2026 has dropped from above 50% in July to below 20%. Cryptocurrency analyst Nishiyama Yoshifumi also said potential initial public offerings by AI companies including OpenAI and Anthropic could divert some venture-capital funding and add pressure to Bitcoin. Other analysts believe the previous downtrend may have ended temporarily, leaving the market focused on whether Bitcoin can stabilize between $60,000 and $85,000 amid autumn macroeconomic and policy headwinds.

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