U.S. President Donald Trump is reportedly sending Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff to Moscow and Kyiv to propose a ceasefire in Ukraine and discuss security guarantees. The mission comes as Russia’s war, launched with its full-scale invasion in February 2022, continues with military strikes and no ceasefire in effect. Market activity indicates increased expectations for a formal ceasefire by the end of 2026, including higher YES pricing in the market settling on December 31, 2026. Traders and observers are watching statements from Trump, Putin and Zelensky, the outcome of the Kushner-Witkoff mission, battlefield developments and changes in the diplomatic posture of the United States and Russia. The source also promotes live prediction-market analysis powered by Vera.