CME FedWatch: September rate hold seen at 39.6%, 25-basis-point hike at 60.4%

2026年9月8日17:00 (47d ago)

CME FedWatch data tracks September Federal Reserve rate expectations.
39.6% is the probability of unchanged rates, versus 60.4% for a 25-basis-point increase.
The figures cover the Federal Reserve’s September policy decision.

CME FedWatch data put the probability of the Federal Reserve leaving interest rates unchanged in September at 39.6%, while the probability of a 25-basis-point increase stands at 60.4%. The figures are market-implied estimates rather than a policy announcement.