Kalshi gives Lions 74% chance to beat Saints in 2026 opener

  • Kalshi traders price the Lions as favorites against the Saints in the 2026 season opener.
  • Detroit carries a 74% win price, compared with New Orleans at 26%.
  • The game starts Sept. 13 at Ford Field, with Kamara not expected to play.

The Detroit Lions are priced as 74% favorites over the New Orleans Saints in Kalshi’s market for the 2026 NFL season opener, with the Saints at 26%. The game begins Sunday, Sept. 13, at 1:00 p.m. ET at Ford Field in Detroit. Kalshi’s market-implied power rankings place Detroit fifth with a 35.6 Power Score and a 66% playoff qualification price, while New Orleans ranks 22nd with a 26.5 Power Score and a 38% playoff price. The Lions are also priced at a 55% chance to win by more than 6.5 points, while the total is set at 49.5 combined points, with a 52% chance of going over. Detroit missed the playoffs at 9-8 in 2025 after going 15-2 the previous year, then reshuffled its offensive line by moving All-Pro Penei Sewell from right tackle to left tackle after Taylor Decker’s departure and hiring Drew Petzing as offensive coordinator. New Orleans went 6-11 in Kellen Moore’s first season as head coach. Spencer Rattler started 1-7 before rookie Tyler Shough took over and went 5-4, recording a 91.3 passer rating after becoming the starter in Week 9. Running back Alvin Kamara missed most of training camp with a sprained MCL and, despite returning to full practice late in the week, is not expected to play. Travis Etienne Jr. is set to handle the lead-back role in his Saints debut, with Kendre Miller providing support. Kalshi contracts trade in cents and pay $1 if the specified outcome occurs, so a 74-cent contract represents a market-implied 74% probability. Prices can change before kickoff. Kalshi says it is subject to CFTC (U.S. derivatives regulator) oversight and is not affiliated with the NFL.

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