CLARITY Act 2026 signing odds rise to 34% on predict.fun

  • predict.fun raised the CLARITY Act's 2026 signing probability to 34%.
  • Polymarket priced the same market at 35%.
  • Eleanor Terrett reported revised Senate text and Trump's 80% agreement on ethics rules.

The probability that the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026 rose to 34% on predict.fun this morning, compared with 35% for the same market on Polymarket. The move followed reporting by crypto reporter Eleanor Terrett that U.S. Senate Republicans had released revised CLARITY Act text. The revision includes changes to ethics rules, and Trump agreed to about 80% of the proposed new ethics provisions.

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