Prediction-market participants were closely divided over the Federal Reserve's September interest-rate decision, with the market reported by Federal News Network exceeding $42 million in volume. In the Sept. 8 snapshot, slightly more than half backed a 25-basis-point hike, while just over 45% expected rates to remain unchanged; no meaningful support was reported for a cut. A separate Kalshi market for the day's meeting showed more than $85 million wagered, with 86% favoring a hike and 12% expecting unchanged rates. The conflicting snapshots underscore uncertainty rather than provide a Bitcoin price forecast. The debate was shaped by a strong August jobs report, the Sept. 11 Consumer Price Index release, inflation, tariff disputes and challenges in the Middle East. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, who succeeded Jerome Powell earlier in 2026, has indicated that a rate increase could be preferable, while President Donald Trump has urged lower borrowing costs and threatened to stop trading with countries with which the United States has a trade deficit if the Fed raises rates. The Sept. 15-16 meeting includes a Summary of Economic Projections, with additional FOMC meetings scheduled for Oct. 27-28 and Dec. 8-9. The reported market readings reflect participants' views at the time and not the meeting's outcome.