Wall Street expects Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh to raise interest rates today, but markets are focused on his guidance afterward. Barclays expects Warsh to retain a hawkish stance by highlighting strong growth, a near-full labor market and persistent inflation. BMO does not expect a firm commitment to more hikes, while Bank of America warns that overly aggressive rhetoric could lead markets to price more than 100 basis points of additional tightening, whereas a dovish message could undermine confidence in the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Citi, JPMorgan, Nomura and UBS also expect limited forward guidance, with economic and monthly inflation data remaining central to future decisions. Deutsche Bank says markets will seek clarity on whether today’s move reverses last year’s 75 basis points of risk-management cuts. Standard Chartered expects questions about tariffs and inflation, while TD Securities sees further tightening remaining on the agenda if rates rise today.