US President Donald Trump said the ongoing conflict with Iran is expected to conclude shortly, potentially bringing US gas prices back to levels seen before the war. His remarks suggest consumers are currently paying more for fuel as part of efforts to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon. The conflict began in February 2026 and involves the United States, Israel and Iran, with tensions fluctuating and ceasefires occurring intermittently. Market pricing for a 2026 US-Iran deal has edged higher, including modest increases in YES probabilities, indicating cautious optimism around diplomatic-resolution scenarios rather than certainty of an agreement. The reliability of the source and the complexity of the geopolitical situation warrant caution from market participants. Observers are expected to track official diplomatic engagements and statements from U.S. negotiator Mike Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif. Diplomatic or military developments could materially affect prediction-market pricing for a US-Iran deal. A broader agreement involving uranium enrichment caps or reconstruction funding remains uncertain and depends on negotiations and geopolitical stability. Live prediction-market analysis is offered by Vera, which invites users to sign up for its service.