Nearly 900,000 tonnes of jet fuel from Asia are scheduled to reach Europe in the coming months, helping reduce the risk of physical shortages as the region replaces disrupted Middle Eastern supplies. Prices are likely to remain elevated, however, because jet fuel is closely linked to an increasingly tight diesel market, while crude oil prices and refinery margins have risen. The average European jet fuel price reached $207.56 (€176) a barrel last week, the highest regional level, and was 27.8% above the previous month's average, according to the International Air Transport Association's fuel price monitor. Kpler data show that Europe imported jet fuel at an average rate of approximately 672,000 barrels per day in September, including intra-European movements, with South Korea, Nigeria and the United States accounting for around 60%. The region received approximately 1.31 million tonnes from Asia-Pacific between July and September, nearly 87% of it from South Korea, while another 900,000 tonnes from South Korea and elsewhere in Asia are scheduled. Higher European refinery output, additional US and Nigerian cargoes, and withdrawals from storage have so far prevented a widespread shortage. Seasonal aviation demand usually falls significantly in November, making the fourth quarter less tight, but safeguards are becoming weaker. The UK and France are considered most vulnerable to renewed disruption, while smaller airports would likely face supply problems before major hubs because they have fewer suppliers, less storage and fewer alternative delivery routes. The IEA expects Middle Eastern supply recovery to be delayed until 2027, leaving European airlines more exposed to higher operating costs than widespread aircraft groundings. Passenger fares will depend partly on how long prices stay high and how much fuel airlines prepaid under earlier agreements.