Kalshi traders put 43% chance on Fed 25-basis-point October hike

  • Kalshi traders assign a 43% chance to a Federal Reserve rate increase.
  • The potential October increase is 25 basis points, or 0.25 percentage point.
  • The estimate concerns a Federal Reserve rate decision scheduled for October.

Kalshi traders see a 43% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in October. A basis point equals one-hundredth of a percentage point, making the projected increase equivalent to 0.25 percentage point.

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