Fed rate-hold odds surge to 84% on Kalshi

2026年10月2日13:19 (22d ago)

Kalshi traders raised the odds of the Fed maintaining rates this month.
84% is the current probability assigned to a rate hold.
The probability reflects Kalshi market trading ahead of the Fed decision.

Kalshi traders have raised the odds of the Federal Reserve maintaining its current interest-rate setting this month to 84%. The market-based probability reflects positioning ahead of the Fed's upcoming decision, though it is not an official forecast.