Polymarket拒绝支付276万美元委内瑞拉入侵预测赔付

Polymarket拒绝支付276万美元委内瑞拉入侵预测赔付

Polymarket在事件发生后修改规则,以及与投资者史蒂文·查尔斯·威特科夫的关联,加剧了人们对其委内瑞拉市场决策中可能存在内幕交易和政治影响的担忧。

事实核查
The statement is well-supported by multiple, highly relevant sources. The core claim that Polymarket disputed a payout related to a 'US Invasion of Venezuela' market is corroborated by several sources. One source reports that Polymarket was 'arguing against settling bets' on such a market, and another explicitly states Polymarket was 'refusing to settle bets'.The most critical part of the claim, the specific '$2.76 million' figure, is directly confirmed by a highly relevant source which cites reporting from the crypto news outlet BlockBeats. This specificity lends significant weight to the statement's truthfulness.There is a minor contradiction from one source that mentions a figure of 'over $10 million' for the same market dispute. However, this does not necessarily invalidate the statement. It's plausible that the '$10 million' refers to the total size of the prediction market pool, while the '$2.76 million' represents the specific payout amount for the winning side that was being contested. The source providing the $2.76 million figure appears to be citing a more specialized, crypto-focused news outlet, making it more likely to have the precise financial detail correct.Irrelevant sources discussing different markets (e.g., Maduro's capture, an invasion of Cuba) do not detract from the strong, direct evidence provided. Overall, the evidence strongly indicates that a dispute over a payout for this specific market occurred, and the $2.76 million figure is explicitly mentioned in the most relevant source.
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摘要

Polymarket拒绝向一个预测美国入侵委内瑞拉的市场支付276万美元赔付,尽管有关于美国军事行动和控制该国站点的报道。该平台在事件发生后修改了市场规则以排除此类情况,引发争议。调查发现与特朗普总统结盟的投资者史蒂文·查尔斯·威特科夫及其他内部人士与从排除规则中获益的交易有关,引发了人们对这个基于区块链的预测市场的市场诚信、政治偏见和内幕交易的担忧。

术语与概念
  • Prediction Market: 参与者交易与未来事件结果相关的合约的平台,价格反映集体概率。
  • Blockchain: 一种去中心化的数字账本,用于安全透明地在多台计算机上记录交易。