Kalshi Traders Raise Odds of Zero U.S. Rate Cuts in 2026 to 40%

The market-based forecast suggests traders increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged through 2026.

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Terms & Concepts
  • Kalshi: A regulated prediction market platform where traders buy and sell contracts tied to the outcome of future events.
  • Rate cuts: Reductions in benchmark interest rates by a central bank, typically used to support economic activity and ease financial conditions.
  • Federal Reserve: The central bank of the United States, responsible for setting monetary policy and influencing borrowing costs.