Polymarket Traders Dispute Strategy Filing Timing in May 31 Market Review

A dispute has emerged on Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market, over a contract tied to Strategy after an 8-K filing (current report to U.S. regulators) was released on June 1 but described sales for the period from May 26 to May 31. The May 31 contract was showing 81% odds for "Yes" and had been placed in review as bettors debated whether resolution should depend on the onchain transactions (blockchain-recorded transfers) or the filing date. The disagreement centers on how event timing should be interpreted when corporate disclosures are published after the covered activity occurred.

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