The market-implied probability suggests traders now see a better-than-even chance the Federal Reserve raises rates again before 2027.
Kalshi traders have pushed the implied odds of the next Federal Reserve rate hike occurring before 2027 to 52%. The move indicates prediction-market participants now see a better-than-even chance of another increase in U.S. interest rates within that timeframe, a shift that can influence expectations across bonds, equities and risk assets including crypto.