Standard Chartered says crypto market has reached its cycle low

The bank says Bitcoin likely bottomed near $59,000, with ETF flows, MicroStrategy buying, a possible SpaceX Nasdaq IPO and oil prices seen as signals for a broader recovery.

BTC

Summary

Standard Chartered senior market analyst Geoffrey Kendrick said Bitcoin has likely bottomed near $59,000, which he described as the end of the latest crypto market downturn after a 53% decline from its previous $126,000 record high. In a Friday report, Kendrick said easing selling pressure in spot Bitcoin ETFs tied to a potential SpaceX Nasdaq IPO and lower oil prices linked to expected US-Iran peace progress could help stabilize the market. He said he will watch MicroStrategy buying and whether daily flows for US spot Bitcoin ETFs turn net positive as key indicators of whether a broader recovery is taking hold.

Terms & Concepts
  • spot Bitcoin ETFs: Exchange-traded funds that hold Bitcoin directly, giving investors exposure to the asset through stock-market vehicles.
  • net positive: A condition in which inflows exceed outflows over a given period.
  • cycle low: The lowest point reached during a broader market downturn.