Polymarket odds of Anthropic reaching $1.1 trillion by June 30 jump to 67%

Traders are using Nasdaq Private Market data to gauge whether Anthropic’s May 28 $965 billion post-money valuation and any new financing could push the AI company past $1.1 trillion, amid broader debate over responsible AI.

Summary

Polymarket traders are increasingly betting that Anthropic will reach a $1.1 trillion valuation by June 30, with implied odds rising to 67% after gaining 30% in 24 hours. The contract settles using Nasdaq Private Market data, anchoring the outcome to a private-market valuation benchmark. Anthropic’s May 28 funding round valued the company at $965 billion on a post-money basis, while the Financial Times previously reported that it is considering raising up to $50 billion at about a $900 billion pre-money valuation. A separate brief framed the valuation surge as a sign that investors may be placing more emphasis on responsible AI, though that interpretation is presented as analysis rather than a confirmed driver.

Terms & Concepts
  • Polymarket: A prediction market for event-based trading.
  • post-money valuation: Company value after new investment is included.
  • responsible AI: AI development focused on safety and governance.