More than $10 million has been wagered across Kalshi contracts, while a separate market implies a 57% chance Bitcoin falls below $50,000 before 2026.
Prediction market traders on Kalshi are assigning relatively low odds to a major Bitcoin rally over the next two years. One Kalshi contract prices a 19% chance that Bitcoin crosses $100,000 before January 2027, while more than $10 million has been wagered across contracts. A separate Kalshi market implies a 57% chance that Bitcoin falls below $50,000 before 2026, underscoring a more cautious near-term outlook from traders using the event-betting platform.