Republicans expected to win U.S. Senate in 2026 midterms as Democrats' odds fall to 42%
A projection shifted back in the Republicans' favor after Democrats briefly took the lead, leaving Democratic chances of winning the Senate at 42%.
Summary
Republicans are now projected to win the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterm elections after the outlook briefly moved toward Democrats. The latest projection puts Democrats' odds of winning the chamber at 42%, indicating the balance of expectations has swung back toward the Republican Party as the race evolves.
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