England advanced to the 2026 World Cup quarterfinals with a 3-2 Round of 16 win over Mexico at Estadio Azteca on July 5, with Jude Bellingham scoring twice and Harry Kane adding a penalty before the team held on with 10 men after Jarell Quansah’s red card. Mexico replied through Julián Quiñones and Raúl Jiménez, but England survived the late pressure to book a quarterfinal against Norway. Kalshi and Polymarket processed nearly $460 million in combined trading volume on the match, with Kalshi at about $402 million and Polymarket at roughly $57.7 million, as live prediction-market pricing swung sharply with each major moment. The coverage also notes broader crypto-linked sports betting activity during the knockout rounds, including increased transaction volumes at crypto-enabled sportsbooks and interest in blockchain-based betting models. A separate $1 million pregame wager at Station Casinos in Nevada on Mexico to advance was lost. The reports emphasize that prediction-market volume is not directly comparable to sportsbook handle because yes-or-no contracts can be resold multiple times before settlement, though the pricing still provided a live market-based view of England’s chances as the match unfolded.