PPP prediction-market tracking said the account, with more than $1.5 million in realized profit, is backing Spain in a 2026 World Cup round-of-16 market and France in the outright winner market.
Polymarket account RJW1 increased its exposure to 2026 World Cup markets with a $178,000 wager on Spain to beat Portugal in the round of 16 and an $800,000 position on France to win the tournament. PPP prediction-market tracking said the Spain position was built at an average 51 cents across 349,998.2 shares, while the France bet was entered at 16.4 cents for 2,465,265.0 shares. The France position is showing an unrealized profit of $400,000, and the account’s total realized profit is above $1.5 million. On Polymarket, users buy and sell event contracts that pay out based on the outcome, allowing traders to express both short-term match views and longer-term tournament convictions.