TrendForce lifts Q1 2026 DRAM price forecast to 90-95% on AI demand

The market researcher said stronger AI and data center demand is deepening the memory supply-demand imbalance, boosting suppliers’ pricing power and also driving NAND Flash estimates higher.

Summary

TrendForce raised its Q1 2026 forecast for conventional DRAM contract prices to 90-95% quarter-on-quarter from 55-60%, citing stronger AI and data center demand that is worsening the global memory supply-demand imbalance. It also increased its NAND Flash contract price forecast to 55-60% from 33-38%. The latest memory industry survey said tighter conditions are strengthening suppliers’ pricing power, and TrendForce added that further upward revisions remain possible if demand continues to outpace supply.

Terms & Concepts
  • DRAM: A type of computer memory used for short-term data storage.
  • NAND Flash: Non-volatile memory used in storage devices like SSDs and smartphones.
  • contract prices: Negotiated prices agreed between buyers and suppliers for future shipments.