Hong Hao says Bitcoin’s 21 million cap supports long-term $1 million target

Hong Hao says Bitcoin’s 21 million cap supports long-term $1 million target

At a Binance private event on July 31, Hong said his team’s cycle model points to an important market window around the shift from the third quarter to the fourth, while urging patience amid uncertainty.

BTC

Fact Check
Every element of the claim is directly corroborated by multiple independent primary news sources reporting on the same July 31, 2026 Binance private event. The Odaily and PANews/WuBlockchain reports confirm Hong Hao cited Bitcoin's 21 million fixed supply cap as underpinning a long-term $1 million target. The BlockBeats flash confirms he said the major correction window may last until late August. The Odaily and BlockBeats flashes confirm his remarks that on-chain stock contracts for major South Korean companies (Samsung, SK Hynix, Hyundai) could broaden access and improve price discovery while reducing market fragility. There is no conflicting evidence.
Summary

Economist Hong Hao said Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million supply cap underpins its scarcity and long-term value, supporting a long-term $1 million target, and compared that scarcity with gold’s at a Binance offline private event on July 31. He said his team’s cycle model points to an important new market window around the transition between the third and fourth quarters, while urging investors to remain patient amid uncertainty. Hong has also said gold could reach $10,000 over the long term. Earlier remarks from the same event said a major correction window had opened and could last until around the end of August, with markets still in deleveraging even as a short-term double-digit rebound remained possible. He also cited the KOSPI’s pullback, concentration in technology shares, Korean regulation and overseas leveraged ETFs as risks, and said stock contracts tied to Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix and Hyundai Motor could lower entry barriers, broaden participation and improve price discovery as trading moves toward 24-hour on-chain markets.

Terms & Concepts
  • 21 million supply cap: Bitcoin’s hard limit on the total number of coins that can ever exist.
  • deleveraging: The process of reducing borrowed positions, which can intensify market swings as investors cut exposure.
  • KOSPI: South Korea’s benchmark stock market index.