Bitcoin tops $64,000 as oil slips and Polymarket odds jump

Bitcoin rose above $64,000 on Aug. 13, with OKX showing BTC at $64,006.20 and up 0.88% on the day at the time of the update, as oil fell toward $82 a barrel and prediction-market traders rapidly repriced near-term thresholds. The move coincided with unverified reports that the United Arab Emirates had released several billion dollars of Iran's frozen assets, including 1.5 tonnes of gold worth roughly $200 million to $283 million flown from Abu Dhabi to Iran on Aug. 11 and 12, a claim neither the UAE nor the U.S. had verified as of Aug. 13. Catcher Predict also flagged sharp shifts on Polymarket, where the "Yes" side in the "Bitcoin breaks on August 13" "$64,000" sub-market rose from 27.5% to 48% within an hour, while in the separate "Bitcoin August Price Prediction" event the "Yes" option for the "62,500 USD" sub-market jumped from 77.5% to 92.5% over the same period. Separate one-hour swings also appeared in Polymarket's "Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels" event, where the "Los Angeles Angels" option in the "1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5" sub-market rose from 23.5% to 50%, in the "St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs" event, where the "Chicago Cubs" option in the "Spread -1.5" sub-market surged from 45.5% to 83.5%, and in the event "Elon Musk's number of tweets in August 2026," where the "Yes" option in the "180-199" sub-market climbed from 55.5% to 93.5%, moves Catcher Predict said should be viewed in light of related breaking news.

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