U.S. President Donald Trump will visit the Nassau County Police Academy in New York on Friday to present 2025 Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) data that the White House says shows the largest year-to-year drop in violent crime on record. Excerpts shared before publication indicate murder and non-negligent manslaughter fell an estimated 18.1% in 2025 and robberies dropped 18.5%, with FBI Director Kash Patel and newly sworn-in Attorney General Todd Blanche expected to join him. The event gives Republicans a public-safety message for swing voters as inflation and the economic fallout from the war with Iran weigh on Trump's approval ratings ahead of November's midterm elections. The broader decline, however, began before Trump returned to office, with homicide rates falling sharply in 2023 and 2024 to pre-pandemic lows, and the nationwide pattern spans cities with both aggressive policing and progressive reform, suggesting no single policy explains it. Democrats say Republicans are overstating the role of federal policy, while progressives who once backed the "defund the police" movement now argue policing should be reformed and say immigration officers who killed two U.S. citizens have made communities less safe.