Prediction-market odds tied to a possible U.S.-Iran deal in 2026 moved higher after a Jerusalem Post report said the Trump administration held secret communications with Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps through President Barzani of Iraq’s Kurdistan Region. The report was presented as a sign of possible negotiations aimed at improving U.S.-Iran relations, with potential implications for talks over Iran’s nuclear program and regional activities. In the market tracking Iran Reconstruction Funding, the YES price rose to 33% from 22% over the prior 24 hours, indicating stronger expectations for that element of a deal. Pricing for other possible terms was less bullish, with a 1+ year uranium enrichment cap at 17% YES, underscoring uncertainty over what any eventual agreement might contain. The piece says traders will be watching for official confirmation or denial, as well as broader diplomatic or military developments that could shift expectations.