EM debt inflows hit $214.4 billion as local markets draw investors

Emerging market debt is attracting renewed investor demand despite war-related disruption, tariff tensions, AI-driven market volatility and concern that the U.S. Federal Reserve could still raise interest rates. Institute of International Finance data showed foreign investors put $214.4 billion into emerging market debt through July, up from $177.7 billion a year earlier, while issuance reached a record $187 billion year to date after roughly $19 billion of bond sales in July alone. Investors and strategists said the asset class is being supported by stronger policymaking, bigger foreign exchange reserves and deeper local investor pools that have reduced vulnerability to the kind of broad sell-offs that once followed external shocks. Some managers favor local-currency debt in Brazil, Colombia, Egypt and Nigeria, arguing that domestic markets now play a more stabilizing role. Risks remain, especially from higher oil and fertiliser prices, food inflation and El Niño, while equities have seen $86 billion of outflows through July as tech-heavy indexes in South Korea and Taiwan amplify volatility. Still, several investors say emerging market local debt could continue to outperform through year-end as portfolios diversify away from U.S. assets.

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