BOJ schedules July 2027 meeting before two hawkish members depart

The Bank of Japan has scheduled its July 2027 policy meeting for July 21-22, one day before hawkish board members Naoki Tamura and Hajime Takata complete their five-year terms. The timing could allow both officials, who favor faster rate increases, to vote on a hike before Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi fills their seats and potentially shifts the nine-member board in a more dovish direction. The BOJ has typically held July meetings near the end of the month, with every meeting since 2023, including this year's July 30-31 review, falling in the final days. Persistent inflation has fueled expectations that the BOJ could raise rates as soon as September and tighten more aggressively. The policy rate is currently 1%, while some investors see a possible peak of 1.75% or 2%, above earlier expectations of about 1.5%. Many analysts expect another increase by January next year and one or two more in 2027. Former BOJ official Nobuyasu Atago said the date may also reflect Governor Kazuo Ueda's schedule and U.S. Federal Reserve meetings, but could serve as insurance for a rate hike opportunity before the two hawks leave.

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